Worst Month For Stocks Is Near

ADP jobs report | US Q2 GDP growth | Tesla investigation

Welcome Back,

Together with Sauce Bae ๐Ÿค๐Ÿฝ

Sauce Bae: The healthy low sodium pineapple habanero and turmeric infused hot sauce that was featured on the multi-million viewer show Hot Ones.

Market Headlines ๐Ÿ‘€ 

  • US Q2 GDP second print comes in at 2.1%; lower than previous estimate.

  • US ADP jobs report shows we added 177k jobs; previous 371k. Smallest gain in five months.

  • US pending home sales rose 0.9% for the month of July.

  • Apple (AAPL) starts using 3d printers in manufacturing some of its future devices, shifting from traditional resources.

  • Visa, Mastercard (V, MA) will raise fees they charge merchants to process their credit cards.

  • US Federal Reserve issues warnings and ramp up lending standards for mid sized lenders ($100-250b in assets).

  • Visa (V) announces payment volumes are up 7% for the month of August.

  •  Tesla (TSLA) DOJ and SEC will investigate a secret glass housing project - โ€˜Project 42โ€™

  •  Intel (INTC) plans to spend $1.2b in Costa Rica over the next two years.

Earnings ๐Ÿ’ธ

  • CrowdStrike (CRWD)

    • EPS: $0.74 beats (exp. $0.56)

    • Revenue: $731.6m beats (exp. $724m)

  • Salesforce (CRM)

    • EPS: $2.12 beats (exp. $1.88)

    • Revenue: $8.6b beats (exp. $8.53b)

  • Okta (OKTA)

    • EPS: $0.31 beats (exp. $0.22)

    • Revenue: $556m beats (exp. $534m)

  • Chewy (CHWY)

    • EPS: $0.15 beats (exp. -0.04)

    • Revenue: $2.78b beats (exp. $2.76b)

    S&P 500 Heat Map

Recap Around the Street ๐Ÿง 

Historically September is the worst month for the stock markets.

Source: Bloomberg

Barring a major economic surprise either inflationary or recessionary, Fed funds will likely follow whatโ€™s being priced in by swaps market. First rate cut to occur in the spring of 2024. (Contributed by Benjamin Lavine, CIO at 3D/L Capital).

Source: Bloomberg

Market Preview ๐ŸŽž๏ธ

  • Thursday, August 31st: Weekly jobless claims; Challenger job cuts; PCE (personal income and spending)

  • Thursday earnings: UBS (UBS), Polestar (PSNY), Broadcom (AVGO), MongoDB (MDB), LuluLemon (LULU), and SentinelOne (S)

  • Friday, September 1st: US monthly jobs report; ISM manufacturing/prices paid/ employment/ new orders; Ward vehicle sales

  • โ€”> Podcast spotlight: Pounding the Table ๐Ÿ‘Š : listen now; where you will find in-depth analysis around these highlights, read company deep dives, and interviews with public CEO's!

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Thatโ€™s all for this week, folks! Weโ€™ll be back around the same time Tuesday with a curated list of important news, economic data and market highlights. 

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