US Mortgage Demand Collapses

Student loan update | Housing update | Jobs data

Welcome Back,

Market Headlines ๐Ÿ‘€ 

  • US President Biden cancels an additional $9b in student loans a couple days after payments began again.

  • US Speaker of the House McCarthy has been ousted as speaker, first time in US history this has occurred.

  • US weekly jobless claims come in at 207k; est: 210k.

  • US home mortgage demand falls to its lowest level since 1996, as the 30y rate inches toward 8%.

  • Citigroup (C) sends out company wide memo outlining major reorganization to take place in November, including layoffs, reassignments and further changes. Citing, its biggest staff overhaul in decades.

  • S&P 500 markets remain mostly flat today ahead of jobs report data due tomorrow, anticipating 170k jobs added in the month of September.

  • Facebook (META) could begin offering its European users a $14 ad free Instagram option.

  • Apple (AAPL) has considered switching its default engine from Google to DuckDuckGo.

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Recap Around the Street ๐Ÿง 

Those taking out a mortgage today will likely refinance once the Fed starts cutting in the face of a recession that could re-invert the yield curve. Itโ€™d be interesting to see how mortgage trading desks are modeling prepayment speeds for current coupon vintages.(Contributed by Benjamin Lavine, CIO at 3D/L Capital).

Source: Bloomberg

Will this softness in ADP payroll data show up in this Fridayโ€™s NFP report or does the latest JOLT survey accurately reflect a still tight labor market?(Contributed by Benjamin Lavine, CIO at 3D/L Capital).

Source: Bloomberg

Market Preview ๐ŸŽž๏ธ

  • Friday, October 6th: Non-farm payrolls and unemployment data; US consumer credit card data

  • โ€”> Podcast spotlight: Pounding the Table ๐Ÿ‘Š : listen now; where you will find in-depth analysis around these highlights, read company deep dives, and interviews with public CEO's!

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Thatโ€™s all for this week, folks! Weโ€™ll be back around the same time Monday with a curated list of important news, economic data and market highlights. 

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