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September Scaries Spook Markets
Nvidia subpoened by DOJ | Chip stocks | ISM manufacturing data
Welcome Back,
Market Headlines 👀
US manufacturing data and construction spending contracted showing a moderate slowdown.
Nvidia (NVDA) receives subpoena from DOJ involving its anti-trust case.
S&P 500 (SPX) all major indices saw a big drawdown to start the month.
Nvidia (NVDA) chip stocks saw its worst day as a basket since March 2020.
X (TWTR) has been blocked in Brazil.
Earnings 💸
Zscaler (ZS)
EPS: $0.88 beats (exp. $0.70)
Revenue: $592.9m beats (exp. $567.46m)
Gitlab (GTLB)
EPS: $0.15 beats (exp. $0.10)
Revenue: $182.6m beats (exp. $176.88m)
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S&P 500 Heatmap 🔥
Recap Around the Street 🧠
The market is currently pricing in 4 cuts for the remainder of 2024, seeing the potential that the Fed does a super sized cut at one of the final 3 meetings of the year (the market has an equal probability of it happening in September, November, or December). Given the current mix of Fed speak, with Powell on the most dovish end (seemingly open to accelerated cuts) and other members expressing a less -dovish, patient easing cycle, IF Friday’s payroll data is in line with estimates, we do not see the Fed doing a 50 bps cut in September (given the evidence would not support the “behind the curve” narrative). Of course, if payrolls comes in weaker than expected, we would likely see the probability for a 50 bps cut rise and interest rates fall across the curve.(Contributed by Cameron Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth).
Source: NewEdge Wealth
September seasonality is historically not great for the markets, data below:
Source: Bloomberg
Market Preview 🎞️
Wednesday, September 4th: MBA mortgage applications; Factory orders
Thursday, September 5th: Weekly jobless claims; ADP employment change
Thursday earnings: Broadcom (AVGO), Docusign (DOCU), UiPath (PATH)and Nio (NIO)
Friday, September 6th: Nonfarm payrolls; unemployment rate
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