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Nvda Stock Descends, Where Could It Bottom?

NVDA and SPX key levels analysis | Meta and Apple discuss partnership | Bitcoin

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Market Headlines 👀 

  • Apple, Meta (AAPL, META) per WSJ report there have been talks between Apple and Meta to integrate Meta’s generative AI into Apple intelligence.

  • Amazon (AMZN) considers adding a subscription fee for its loss making business Alexa.

  • Apple (AAPL) company won’t launch Apple intelligence in Europe in 2024 due to anti-trust concerns.

  • Bitcoin (BTC) continues downtrend as it goes below the 60k mark for the first time since early May.

  • US credit spreads see a two month high given the uncertainty with economic data.

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S&P 500 Heatmap 🔥 

Recap Around the Street 🧠

The epic run of NVIDIA (NVDA) since late April (+84% to Thursday’s high from the April low) stalled at the end of last week. Earnings were revised higher during this time, but only by 8%. The stock had become enormously overbought as investors chased the monster returns that the stock has generated YTD. A pullback to the 50 day moving average from Friday’s close would equate to a 20% correction, a similar magnitude to the MarchApril correction.(Contributed by Cameron Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth).

Source: NewEdge Wealth

Following last week’s Tech stall, plus the overbought condition reached earlier in the week, it would not be surprising for the S&P 500 to experience a period of higher volatility and “digestion” of the recent sharp move higher. A pull back to the 100 day would be ~6% from last week’s high, very normal and healthy for the continuation of a bull market. A deeper correction to the 200 day (~11% lower) is also perfectly normal in a bull run (similar to 2024’s late summer swoon).(Contributed by Cameron Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth).

Source: NewEdge Wealth

Market Preview 🎞️ 

  • Tuesday, June 25th: Conference board consumer confidence data

  • Wednesday, June 26th: MBA mortgage applications; New home sales

  • Thursday, June 27th: Weekly jobless claims; Durable good orders; Q1 GDP final estimate; Pending home sales

  • Friday, June 28th: Personal income and spending (PCE) data; University of Michigan consumer sentiment; End of quarter rebalancing

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That’s all for today, folks! We’ll be back around the same time Thursday with a curated list of important news, economic data and market highlights. 

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