Markets See A Huge Rally

SPX recaptures its 200d | US/China Tariffs update | Trump calls Tim Cook

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Welcome Back,

Market Headlines 👀 

  • US and China agree to a 90 day pause on tariffs.

  • US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data for the month of April will be reported tomorrow morning at 8:30 am EST.

  • Apple (AAPL) shares plans for its product lines through 2027.

  • Apple (AAPL) US President Trump said he spoke to Tim Cook of Apple today, and expects the company to continue investing more in the US.

Earnings 💸

  • Monday . com (MNDY)

    • EPS: $1.10 meets ($0.70)

    • Revenue: $282.3m beats (exp. $276m)

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S&P 500 Heatmap 🔥 

Recap Around the Street 🧠

•Trump/China agree to deescalate significantly from embargo -level tariffs for 90 days and will talk again in the coming weeks/months.

• 30% U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods remain in place (10% universal + 20% fentanyl), while China applies 10% tariffs on all U.S. goods.

• No further concessions or changes to current non -tariff barriers (e.g., rare earth restriction from China).

• 90 -day pause will likely cause a significant increase in orders and shipments from China as uncertainty remains about the final level of tariffs.

• Sectoral tariffs on steel/aluminum and autos remain, with promises of more to come on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals.

• Treasury Secretary Bessent says the current tariffs rates are a “floor” not a “ceiling” saying it is “implausible” that tariff rates will fall further below these levels. (Contributed by Cameron Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth).

Source: NewEdge Wealth

US equities are roaring higher on the ratcheting back of trade tensions and tariffs with China. The S&P 500 rallies above its 200 day moving average for the first time since early March. Breaking above this level could spark a chase higher, given positioning is still light overall (next slide). When we look at breadth measures tomorrow, we will be looking for signs of a “breadth thrust” in measures like the % of names at 20 day highs. We will also be looking for signs of overbought conditions. (Contributed by Cameron Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth).

Source: NewEdge Wealth

Market Preview 🎞️ 

  • Tuesday, May 13th: Consumer Price Index (CPI)

  • Tuesday earnings: Sea Limited (SE), and JD.com (JD) 

  • Wednesday, May 14th: MBA mortgage applications

  • Thursday, May 15th: Weekly jobless claims; Price Producer Index (PPI); Empire State manufacturing; Retail Sales

  • Thursday earnings: Walmart (WMT), John Deere (DE), Cava (CAVA), Sea and Alibaba (BABA) 

  • Friday, May 16th: Monthly Options Expiration (OPEX); Housing starts

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That’s all for today, folks! We’ll be back around the same time Thursday with a curated list of important news, economic data and market highlights. 

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